Year 2024 started with high hopes on economic recovery. Inflation seemed to be contained, and rate cuts were on horizon. Months later, the hope is fading away. Now, there is more pessimism than optimism. Inflation Risk Strong jobs data, coupled with geopolitical risk, are keeping the inflation at top range target of 2,5+1% (i.e. 3,05% YoY in March ...
Read MoreThe market is swamped with nickel supply. The price has dropped by nearly half since the start of 2023, although it rebounds little bit lately. source: trading economics.com How do we even get here in the first place? New Projects In 2021, the country already has 37% share of nickel mine production globally. By 2027 the market share will ...
Read MoreIn a slow economy, Investors tend to put their money more into fixed income assets such as deposits or fixed-interest bonds. Yet, putting all eggs into one or two baskets come with their own risks. Low-risk deposits do not mean risk-free. Which is why for some Investors, diversification by maintaining their position in the Stock Market ...
Read MoreMonths ago, it was unthinkable that the interest rates would stop increasing, or at least left as is. That’s not the case anymore. Wishful thinking for lower rates might come true this year. Inflation Rate Despite increasing food inflation, overall inflation is consistently coming down. At 2,6% YoY, inflation is at its lowest point for the past ...
Read MoreIn the early 2023, many believed that the year would become a cornerstone for better life and economy. Some made it as they thought it would be for them. For some (maybe majority), not so good as they expected. Hedging against Inflation Against backdrops in the debt and stock market, more Investors pour into assets that hold ...
Read MoreThe economy is doing fine, but not great. The future looks alright, but not bright. Although the inflation (except food) is under control, the GDP growth dips slightly under 5%, a rare occurrence except during pandemic. source: bps.go.id Softening Commodity Prices Mineral (coal, metals, etc) exports accounted for 20% of total exports for the first 10 months this ...
Read MoreThis year marks a record for IPO listing in the market, despite sluggish macroeconomic and geopolitical tension. A record breaking of 77 IPOs so far this year, with over IDR 50 trillion raised. Good for businesses, especially small to mid sizes, that acquire funding via these IPOs. No need to pay interest to the banks since ...
Read MoreThere is general belief that economic growth means improved welfare, as long as the inflation is under control. The latest inflation data shows a decline overall, which is encouraging. Source: bps.go.id As for food (soft commodities), the inflation figure does not differ much, i.e. at 2,51% YoY. Food is a necessity, no argue about that. Good GDP, account ...
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